move is part of a retaliatory campaign by the Houthis in response to
the indiscriminate bombings conducted by the Saudi air force over more
than four years. UN estimates speak of more than 100,000 deaths and the
largest humanitarian crisis since the Second World War.
Saturday September 14, Yemen’s Houthi rebels announced that they had
conducted a massive attack on several Aramco plants in Saudi Arabia,
including the largest oil refinery in the world in Abqaiq, using 10
drones. On Twitter, dozens of videos and photos showed explosions,
flames and the resulting damage.
Saudi kingdom finds itself in an increasingly dangerous situation as a
result of the retaliatory capacity of the Houthis, able to inflict
severe military and economic damage on Riyadh with their missile forces.
Estimates suggest that Riyadh is losing something in the region of $300
million a day from the Houthi attacks. On Sunday September 15, a
spokesman for the Saudi oil ministry spoke of damage that is yet to be
calculated, possibly requiring weeks of repair. Meanwhile, Saudi oil
production has halved following the Saturday attack. With a military
budget of $200,000, the Houthis managed to inflict damage numbering in
the billions of dollars.
House of Saud Isolated
withdrawal of Egypt and the United Arab Emirates from the conflict in
Yemen, driven by their desire to improve relations with Tehran, and the
impossibility of the United States intervening directly in the conflict,
has created significant problems for the House of Saud. The conflict is
considered by the UN to be the largest humanitarian crisis in the
world, and Trump has no intention of giving the Democratic presidential
contenders any ammunition with which to attack him. Bolton’s dismissal
could be one of those Trump signals to the deep state stating that he
does not intend to sabotage his re-election hopes in 2020 by starting a
This reluctance by Washington to directly support Israel
and Saudi Arabia has aggravated the situation for Riyadh, which now
risks seeing the conflict move to its own territory in the south of the
country. The Houthi incursions into Saudi Arabia are now a daily event,
and as long as Riyadh continues to commit war crimes against innocent
Yemeni civilians, the situation will only worsen, with increasingly
grave consequences for the internal stability of the Saudi system.
retaliation is the real demonstration of what could happen to the Saudi
economy if Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) refuses to sit down and negotiate a
way out of one of the worst military disasters of the contemporary era.
The invincibility of US weapons systems is only in Hollywood movies
Houthis have in recent months managed to strike their targets in Saudi
Arabia dozens of times using different aerial means. This highlights
once again the total failure of American air-defense systems in the
In contrast, the multiple Russian anti-aircraft systems
in Syria have achieved a 100% success rate with regard to interceptions,
managing to disable (through electronic warfare) all the drones,
mortars and missiles launched by jihadists against Russia’s bases in
Tartus and Latakia.
blames Tehran for the Yemeni attack on Saudi Arabia, of course without
offering any proof. Riyadh and Tel Aviv are increasingly isolated in the
Middle East. Washington is only able to offer tweets and paranoia about
Iran to help its allies, given that a direct intervention is seen as
being too risky for the global economy, not to mention the possibility
of the conflict becoming a wider regional conflagration that would sink
any chance of reelection in 2020 for the present administration.
Netanyahu and MBS are concocting a witches’ brew that will bring about a
disaster of unprecedented proportions to the region. It is only a
matter of time before we see the baleful consequences of their
A hypothesis to be discarded
is some talk doing the rounds that the Saudis conducted a false-flag
attack on their own oil refineries, a hypothesis that enjoys a
superficial plausibility. The resulting increase in the price of oil
could be seen as having a positive effect on Aramco’s share price, it is
true. But for the reasons given below, this hypothesis is actually not
The Houthis develop their own weapons, assisted by the
Yemeni army. Used drones would cost less than $20,000 a piece. The
military embargo on Yemen (enforced by the US and UK) has created a
humanitarian disaster, limiting food and medicine. The delivery of
weapons by sea therefore seems unlikely. As repeatedly stated by
Mohammad Javad Zarif, the foreign minister of Iran, as well as
representatives of Ansarullah, Tehran has no influence on the Houthis.
Yemeni response is part of an increasing asymmetric logic, which has as
its primary objectives the halt to Riyadh’s bombings of Yemen by
increasing the costs of doing so such that they become unsustainable.
The obvious pressure point is the 20 billion barrels in strategic
There is no need for a false flag to blame Iran for the
work of the Houthis. The corporate media is enough to have the false
accusations repeated without the help of the Israelis or US-based
The Saudis are more cautious, even if unable to decide
how to proceed. In Yemen, they have no more cards to play: they do not
want to sit down and deal with Ansarullah, Tehran is unassailable, while
Tel Aviv is pushing for a conflict, with Riyadh offered to be
I have been writing for months that, sooner or later,
an event will occur that will change the regional balance in a possible
conflict with Iran. This happened on Saturday, when half of Saudi
Arabia’s oil production was brought to a halt by an attack.
could not be any worse news for the neocons, Wahhabis and Zionists. If
the Houthis could inflict such damage using 10 drones, then Tel Aviv,
Riyadh and Washington must be having conniptions at the thought of what
the Iranians would be capable of doing in the event that they themselves
Any power (in this case the US and their
air-defense systems) and its close ally would do everything to avoid
suffering such a humiliation that would only serve to reveal their
Meanwhile, Netanyahu’s visit to Moscow
is seen by many in Israel as a failure. It is confirmed in Tel Aviv that
the Zionist state’s recent attacks in Syria have been quashed by
Russian intervention, sending an unambiguous message to Netanyahu.
and MBS, I reiterate, are heading towards the political abyss. And
given their inability to handle the situation, they will do everything
in their power to draw Washington into their plans against Iran.
It is all certainly IN vain. But in the coming weeks, I expect further provocations and tensions in the Middle East.