US-SAUDI BLITZ IN YEMEN|
Postato il 29/03/2015 di cdcnet
NAKED AGGRESSION, ABSOLUTE DESPERATION
March 27, 2015 (Tony Cartalucci - NEO)
The "proxy war" model the US has been employing throughout the Middle
East, Eastern Europe, and even in parts of Asia appears to have failed
yet again, this time in the Persian Gulf state of Yemen.
Overcoming the US-Saudi backed regime in Yemen, and a coalition of
sectarian extremists including Al Qaeda and its rebrand, the "Islamic
State," pro-Iranian Yemeni Houthi militias have turned the tide against
American "soft power" and has necessitated a more direct military
intervention. While US military forces themselves are not involved
allegedly, Saudi warplanes and a possible ground force are.
Though Saudi Arabia claims "10 countries" have joined its coalition to
intervene in Yemen, like the US invasion and occupation of Iraq hid
behind a "coalition," it is overwhelmingly a Saudi operation with
"coalition partners" added in a vain attempt to generate diplomatic
The New York Times, even in the title of its report, "Saudi Arabia Begins Air Assault in Yemen," seems not to notice these "10" other countries. It reports:
Saudi Arabia announced on Wednesday night that it had launched a
military campaign in Yemen, the beginning of what a Saudi official said
was an offensive to restore a Yemeni government that had collapsed after
rebel forces took control of large swaths of the country.
The air campaign began as the internal conflict in Yemen showed signs
of degenerating into a proxy war between regional powers. The Saudi
announcement came during a rare news conference in Washington by Adel
al-Jubeir, the kingdom’s ambassador to the United States.
Proxy War Against Iran
Indeed, the conflict in Yemen is a proxy war. Not between Iran and Saudi
Arabia per say, but between Iran and the United States, with the United
States electing Saudi Arabia as its unfortunate stand-in.
Iran's interest in Yemen serves as a direct result of
the US-engineered "Arab Spring" and attempts to overturn the political
order of North Africa and the Middle East to create a unified sectarian
front against Iran for the purpose of a direct conflict with Tehran. The
war raging in Syria is one part of this greater geopolitical
conspiracy, aimed at overturning one of Iran's most important regional
allies, cutting the bridge between it and another important ally,
Hezbollah in Lebanon.
And while Iran's interest in Yemen is currently portrayed as yet another
example of Iranian aggression, indicative of its inability to live in
peace with its neighbors, US policymakers themselves have long ago
already noted that Iran's influence throughout the region, including
backing armed groups, serves a solely defensive purpose, acknowledging
the West and its regional allies' attempts to encircle, subvert, and
overturn Iran's current political order.
The US-based RAND Corporation, which describes itself as "a nonprofit
institution that helps improve policy and decision making through
research and analysis," produced a report in 2009 for the US Air Force
titled, "Dangerous But Not Omnipotent : Exploring the Reach and Limitations of Iranian Power in the Middle East,"
examining the structure and posture of Iran's military, including its
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and weapons both present, and possible
future, it seeks to secure its borders and interests with against
The report admits that:
Iran’s strategy is largely defensive, but with some offensive
elements. Iran’s strategy of protecting the regime against internal
threats, deterring aggression, safeguarding the homeland if aggression
occurs, and extending influence is in large part a defensive one that
also serves some aggressive tendencies when coupled with expressions of
Iranian regional aspirations. It is in part a response to U.S. policy
pronouncements and posture in the region, especially since the terrorist
attacks of September 11, 2001. The Iranian leadership takes very
seriously the threat of invasion given the open discussion in the United
States of regime change, speeches defining Iran as part of the “axis of
evil,” and efforts by U.S. forces to secure base access in states
Whatever imperative Saudi Arabia is attempting to cite in justifying its
military aggression against Yemen, and whatever support the US is
trying to give the Saudi regime rhetorically, diplomatically, or
militarily, the legitimacy of this military operation crumbles before
the words of the West's own policymakers who admit Iran and its allies
are simply reacting to a concerted campaign of encirclement, economic
sanctions, covert military aggression, political subversion, and even
terrorism aimed at establishing Western hegemony across the region at
the expense of Iranian sovereignty.
Saudi Arabia's Imperative Lacks Legitimacy
The unelected hereditary regime ruling over Saudi Arabia, a nation
notorious for egregious human rights abuses, and a land utterly devoid
of even a semblance of what is referred to as "human rights," is now
posing as arbiter of which government in neighboring Yemen is
"legitimate" and which is not, to the extent of which it is prepared to
use military force to restore the former over the latter.
The United States providing support for the Saudi regime is designed to
lend legitimacy to what would otherwise be a difficult narrative to
sell. However, the United States itself has suffered from an increasing
deficit in its own legitimacy and moral authority.
Most ironic of all, US and Saudi-backed sectarian extremists, including
Al Qaeda in Yemen, had served as proxy forces meant to keep Houthi
militias in check by proxy so the need for a direct military
intervention such as the one now unfolding would not be necessary. This
means that Saudi Arabia and the US are intervening in Yemen only after
the terrorists they were supporting were overwhelmed and the regime they
were propping up collapsed.
In reality, Saudi Arabia's and the United States' rhetoric aside, a
brutal regional regime meddled in Yemen and lost, and now the aspiring
global hemegon sponsoring it from abroad has ordered it to intervene
directly and clean up its mess.
Saudi Arabia's Dangerous Gamble
The aerial assault on Yemen is meant to impress upon onlookers Saudi
military might. A ground contingent might also attempt to quickly sweep
in and panic Houthi fighters into folding. Barring a quick victory built
on psychologically overwhelming Houthi fighters, Saudi Arabia risks
enveloping itself in a conflict that could easily escape out from under
the military machine the US has built for it.
It is too early to tell how the military operation will play out and how
far the Saudis and their US sponsors will go to reassert themselves
over Yemen. However, that the Houthis have outmatched combined US-Saudi
proxy forces right on Riyadh's doorstep indicates an operational
capacity that may not only survive the current Saudi assault, but be
strengthened by it.
Reports that Houthi fighters have employed captured Yemeni warplanes
further bolsters this notion - revealing tactical, operational, and
strategic sophistication that may well know how to weather whatever the
Saudis have to throw at it, and come back stronger.
What may result is a conflict that spills over Yemen's borders and into
Saudi Arabia proper. Whatever dark secrets the Western media's decades
of self-censorship regarding the true sociopolitical nature of Saudi
Arabia will become apparent when the people of the Arabian peninsula
must choose to risk their lives fighting for a Western client regime, or
take a piece of the peninsula for themselves.
Additionally, a transfer of resources and fighters arrayed under the
flag of the so-called "Islamic State" and Al Qaeda from Syria to the
Arabian Peninsula will further indicate that the US and its regional
allies have been behind the chaos and atrocities carried out in the
Levant for the past 4 years. Such revelations will only further
undermine the moral imperative of the West and its regional allies,
which in turn will further sabotage their efforts to rally support for
an increasingly desperate battle they themselves conspired to start.
America's Shrinking Legitimacy
It was just earlier this month when the United States reminded the world of Russia's "invasion" of Crimea.
Despite having destabilized Ukraine with a violent, armed insurrection
in Kiev, for the purpose of expanding NATO deeper into Eastern Europe
and further encircling Russia, the West insisted that Russia had and
still has no mandate to intervene in any way in neighboring Ukraine.
Ukraine's affairs, the United States insists, are the Ukrainians' to
determine. Clearly, the US meant this only in as far as Ukrainians
determined things in ways that suited US interests.
This is ever more evident now in Yemen, where the Yemeni people are not
being allowed to determine their own affairs. Everything up to and
including military invasion has been reserved specifically to ensure
that the people of Yemen do not determine things for themselves,
clearly, because it does not suit US interests.
Such naked hypocrisy will be duly noted by the global public and across
diplomatic circles. The West's inability to maintain a cohesive
narrative is a growing sign of weakness. Shareholders in the global
enterprise the West is engaged in may see such weakness as a cause to
divest - or at the very least - a cause to diversify toward other
enterprises. Such enterprises may include Russia and China's mulipolar
world. The vanishing of Western global hegemony will be done in
destructive conflict waged in desperation and spite.
Today, that desperation and spite befalls Yemen.
Tony Cartalucci, Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer, especially for the online magazine“New Eastern Outlook”.